Data soup: gdp, durable goods,: This article explores the topic in depth.
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Data soup: gdp. Moreover, durable goods,:
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Wall Street’s clues are increasing. Furthermore,
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Communication services are at the top of the sectoral gains of the S&P 500. For example, Real estate is the most decreasing sector. Meanwhile,
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Stoxx 600 up ~ 0.1%. Similarly,
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The dollar, gold and bitcoin drop; crude oil increases by ~ 2%. Meanwhile,
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The 10 -year -old American treasury yield is down to around 4.28%. In addition,
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Data soup: GDP. Moreover, data soup: gdp, durable goods, durable goods, unemployment benefits, sales of pending housing, etc. Meanwhile,
On Thursday. For example, a torrent of data offered to market players (, not to mention the Fed), a wide choice, with upwards up and down. Meanwhile, First of all, the US economy contracted 0.5% in a quarterly annualized rate in the first three months of 2025, a larger contraction than the drop of 0.2% previously reported. For example, according to the third and last report of the trade department on the GDP of the first trimester USGDPF = ECI. Nevertheless,
By deepening, imports (A GDP Negative) jumped by 37.9 %, reducing the overall figure by 4.7 percentage points, while private stocks and fixed investment – in particular a leap of 23.7 % in equipment – contributed to a combined increase in 3.9 percentage points, American companies having advanced their important purchases. For example,
data soup: gdp, durable goods, Interior sales contracted by 3.1 %, down compared to the fall of 2.9 % recorded during the previous edition of the Commerce Department. Consequently,
“The drop in GDP in the first quarter was a little more important than we thought. ” wrote Ryan Sweet, chief economist for the United States at Oxford Economics (OE). “But the details are more disturbing due to the downward revision of actual final sales to national buyers. the engine of the economy.”
Consumer spending, which represents around 70 %of the US economy, increased by 0.5 %, which is much lower than the advanced 1.2 %figure. The Americans have postponed their purchases of lasting goods in a context of high interest rate and political uncertainty. Expenses in sustainable goods were contracted by 3.7 %, while expenditure in non -sustainable goods increased by 2.1 % and expenses in services increased by 0.6 %, data soup: gdp, durable goods, which is much lower than the figure of 1.7 % previously announced.
“The revision of consumption expenditure has been notable and was led by leisure services and transport services,” adds Ryan Sweet. “Leisure services. trips are part of the spending components that we have reported as being sensitive to impact in the feeling of consumers, which occurred in the first quarter due to the fellows of the stock market linked to customs duties.” Last week. 236,000 American workers joined the queue in front of the USJOB employment agency = ECI, 10,000 less than the previous week, landing 3.7 % below consensus. Despite this drop. initial unemployment benefits are continuing to be in the upper part of the 200,000 to 250,000 range, to which the measure has been stuck for about two years. This is confirmed by the underlying trend; The four -week mobile average of initial requests evolves data soup: gdp, durable goods, essentially laterally. Noting that weekly requests are volatile. Samuel Tombs, chief economist for the United States at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said: “The leap in Warn dismissal declarations in May and the recent weakening of job offers and hiring intentions suggest that the upward trend of initial requests will persist in the next two months.” Warn (Worker Adjustment and Retining Notification) statements are prior notifications for factories or massive layoffs.
USJOBN’s current unemployment requests for USJOBN = ECI, reported with a one -week lag, increased by 1.9 % to 1.974 million, 24,000 more than analysts provided for it.
This is the highest figure since November 2021. it confirms recent surveys with consumers who suggest that dismissed workers are finding it increasingly difficult to find a replacement job.
“No reason to expect companies’ hiring plans suddenly, we maintain our forecast that the unemployment rate will increase to data soup: gdp, durable goods, 4.8 % by the end of the year,” adds Samuel Tombs.
The new orders of sustainable goods made in the United States USGDN = ECI made a 16.4 % leap last month, far exceeding the 8.5 % expected by economists and marking a robust rebound after the fall of 6.6 % of April.
As is often the case, it was above all planes.
If we consult the report of the Commerce Department. which covers all areas, from Grille-Pain-Pain Fours to attack drones, an increase of 230.8 % of commands of commercial aircraft is largely behind this leap forward. If all the elements related to transport are removed, new orders would have increased by only 0.5 %. An increase of 38.7 % of the equipment related to the defense also gave a boost to the report.
Basic equipment goods – which exclude planes. data soup: gdp, durable goods, defense items and are considered a barometer of investment plans for American companies – increased by 1.7 %, easily bouncing after the 1.4 %drop in April and surpassing the meager estimate of 0.1 %.
Despite this. “due to the drop in imports of capital goods, a stronger inflation linked to capital goods and a decline in deliveries of non-military aircraft, we plan that investment in corporate equipment will decrease by almost 1 % in annual rate in the second quarter, which represents a marked slowdown compared to the previous quarter”, declared Bernard Yaros, principal economist for the United States.
Meanwhile, contracts signed for sales awaiting used American houses USNAR = ECI increased by 1.8 % in May, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). This increase is much greater than that of 0.1 % expected by economists and marks a partial rebound after the diving data soup: gdp, durable goods, of 6.3 % of April.
“Constant job gains and the increase in wages slightly help the housing market,” writes Lawrence Yun, chief economist of NAR. “Time salaries are increasing more quickly than housing prices. However. fluctuations in mortgage rates are the main engine of housing purchase decisions and influence accessibility to housing more than wage gains.”
The index for auction of pending housing continues to sink into the depths of the Nadir of. the closure due to the pandemic of April 2020.
Finally. the Commerce Department has published its forecasts concerning the USGBAL trade balance = ECI and the stocks of large USAWIN = ECI for the month of April.
The gap between the value of goods imported into the United States and those exported abroad widened 11.1 % to $ 95.59 billion last month.
“Although imports have shown a data soup: gdp, durable goods, modest recovery after the month of May,” said Ryan Weldon, portfolio manager at IFM Investors. “The market remains cautious when approaching the end of the 90 -day pricing, while few substantial trade agreements have been concluded.”
Net trade was the main brake on GDP in the first quarter. companies hastened to make purchases before increases in customs tariffs provided by Trump.
The value of the goods stacked in the warehouses of American wholesalers fell 0.3 %, erasing the ridiculous increase of 0.1 % recorded in April.
(Stephen Culp)
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Previous articles on live markets. The S&P 500. the NASDAQ are again approaching records – click here (link small capitalizations are protection against declines and an opportunity for increases – click here (link British medium capitalizations could finally receive a little love – click here (link the results of the first data soup: gdp, durable goods, quarter, artificial intelligence and regulatory winds support technological prospects – Federated Hermes – Click here (link The alternatives are not only tactical, but strategic – HSBC – Click here (link the track of the slightest resistance to tackle the twin deficits of the United States – Click here (link Europe before the bell: upward – Click here (link
MORNING BID: TRUMP PUNCHES AT POWELL, DOLLAR RECOILS. CLIQUEZ ICI (link
Data soup: gdp, durable goods,
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