ANALYSE -Tehran accepted a ceasefire, after carefully calibrating reprisals against an American base in Qatar.
Negotiate with the United States, without giving the impression of capitulating, rather than stubbornly and risking its survival against Israel. Weakened by twelve days of strikes, the Iranian regime saved the face by symbolically retalling at “Aggression” American, before accepting in the process the end of a war waged by her Israeli sworn enemy, who would have ended up threatening her existence.
For Tehran, “The priority was to find the negotiations in order to save the regime”estimates the researcher Bernard Hourcade, specialist in the Islamic Republic. According to him, “Iranian leaders did not want to cut the bridges with Donald Trump because they know that it is he who can arrest war with Israel ”. At the end of the conflict, “The diet has been humiliated, but it is still alive and ready to fight”notes, for his part, Gregory Brew, Iran specialist at Eurasia Group in the United States.
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