However,
Thunderstorms heat: consequences hurricane erin:
Hurricane Erin goes back to the North Atlantic but keeps a still uncertain trajectory. In addition, His behavior will directly influence time in Europe. Therefore, especially in France: heat peak or thunderstorms, to be followed day by day.
Current context: a powerful hurricane in full change
Erin recently returned to category 2/5, after temporarily reached category 5 this weekend. For example, It is currently evolving off the Bahamas, heading northeast as the North Atlantic Water approaches. Therefore, The models indicate that. while losing its tropical characteristics, it will turn into extra-tropical depression in contact with colder air masses.
Evolution scenarios for France next week
Scenario 1: heat peak followed by thunderstorms (more likely)
If Erin remains a little off Ireland from next Monday. he could promote the strengthening of an anticyclone on France. This weather lock would trigger a heat stroke followed by stormy instability when the depression would eventually slide east. generating sometimes violent stormsespecially in the Southeast and on the Atlantic Arc during the week. This scenario is in the majority.
Scenario 2: Sustainable heat (unreliable)
In this case, Erin would stagnate off Ireland or the North Atlantic. The meridian flow (that is to say oriented to the south) would maintain. bringing persistent summer heatwithout breaking or marked instability – time would remain dry and warm for several days. This blocked scenario does not seem the most likely.
Scenario 3 (minority): Quick passage to the British Islands. resumption of rains in the northwest
If Erin accelerates to the British Islands, the remains of the storm could reach northwestern France thunderstorms heat: consequences hurricane erin in the middle of the week. This would induce a wet refreshmentwith Return of rains and windtemporarily degrading the summer conditions. This evolution seems unlikely but not excluded.
These trajectories illustrate the end of the summer season: Erin. still powerful, could significantly change the French weather, according to his deviation in latitude. These configurations are classic at the end of summer-let us remember. for example, the subtropical storm “Danielle” in September 2022 which had brought a heat peak or “Kirk” in October 2024which had brought disturbances and rains to our country. Uncertainty is still present, and vigilance is to put the evolution of next week.
Thunderstorms heat: consequences hurricane erin
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