However,
Towards violent bad weather next:
After the improvement observed at the weekend, a new degradation is already preparing. Similarly, Under the influence of an Iberian cold drop. Therefore, rains and thunderstorms could be talked about at the start of the week … However,
Thanks to an increase in the pressure field, weather conditions are improving as the weekend approaches. Furthermore, Anticyclone reforming between the British Islands. Consequently, the North Sea, it brings clarification increasingly wide and temperatures increasing with punctually more than 30 ° C in the shade.
However, this situation will be very temporary since the breakdown activity is strengthened on the Atlantic. In addition. Moreover, a cold drop (small depression with cold air at altitude) will be isolated on the Iberian peninsula by Monday, causing a clear rainy and stormy depression, typical of the end of towards violent bad weather next summer and autumn … Therefore,
The return of instability from the south – Towards violent bad weather next
After an often hot. In addition, sunny weekend, Monday was also promised to be summer. For example, The sun will dominate largely, with a sky, however, veiling from Aquitaine to the Alps and up to the Mediterranean. The heat will remain topical. especially in the west where it will not be uncommon to see the thermometers approach 33 to 35 ° C in the afternoon. The situation will start to evolve Tuesday from the South and the southwest of the country.
Indeed. towards violent bad weather next a cold drop will isolate itself in the vicinity of Spain and Portugal, thus coming to destabilize the air mass. Accordingly, Thunderstorms are expected Tuesday from the Pyrenees to the Alps and the Mediterranean periphery. If it is still a little early to obtain a reliable. precise forecast, it will be necessary to monitor the evolution of forecasts due to the risk of violent phenomena.
#weather forecast First real stormy degradation of Leté expected early next week in the southern regions? Some models announce a potentially marked episode. but I do not say that it could hurt, because I am still going to deal with sensationalist pic.twitter.com/G6SwZWLFim
– Monsieur_meteo_007 (@ Monsieureto07) August 20, 2025
From Wednesday, ex-Ouragan Erin will approach British islands. Thus, Atlantic disturbances will find the path of France with their share of rains and strong winds. No region will be spared by towards violent bad weather next precipitation in the second half of the week which promises to be very autumn. There againit will be necessary to refine the accumulation of precipitation which could be significant in several regions.
Average reliability with uncertainties
While the deadline is closer, the reliability of forecasts remains average. Two reasons for that: first, cold drop on the Iberian peninsula. This kind of small depression with cold air at altitude has the particularity of being unpredictable And to bring a lot of instability. both in terms of air mass and forecasts.
In addition, the former Ouragan Erin continues his crossing of the Atlantic. He will get closer to Europe over the next week and also come to bring change. Although it has lost its tropical characteristics. The arrival of such a phenomenon in Europe disrupts models of atmosphere and degrades the reliability of forecasts.
The next few days will therefore have to be scrutinized closely. The context will be favorable to the weather -stained weather conditionsbetween rains. thunderstorms with risks of violent phenomena and accumulation of significant rain. For this last towards violent bad weather next parameter, the Mediterranean regions must be attentive to the risk of Cévenol or Mediterranean episode.
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