Weather trend at 4 weeks: towards seasonal time before the return of heat

This long -term trend is not to be taken at the foot of the letter. Nevertheless, It is a question of highlighting the most likely weather scenario for the next four weeks. Therefore, with reliability which becomes more limited over time. Therefore, The weather trend shows a return to normal conditions for the next few weeks. For example, with the anticyclone which should mainly concern us.

Week from July 28 to August 3: towards a fairly classic north-south gradient

For this hinged week of the summer. Therefore, with the chased-crossed between Julyist and Aoutien, the anticyclone should re-inflate from the south with the return of a quieter and sunny weather south of the Loire. Therefore, The improvement will be later for the northern part of France with a few more clouds. or even low scattered showers. The temperatures will remain slightly below normal. weather trend 4 weeks: towards especially in the north where the nebulosity will limit the increase in the thermometer.

North half trend © LCM

Week from August 4 to 10: generalization of high pressure. good weather

For this week, forecasts tend towards calm weather conditions and quite sunny with the anticyclone which will re -inflate from the south over almost the whole country. This does not mean that there will be no clouds or showers, but overall a summer week is coming. There are few high heat signals. so the risk of heat wave is not yet to be ruled out, with temperatures that would remain close to normal, or even slightly above. Some thunderstorms could break out at the end of the day on the reliefs with a risk of overflow. in the plain in places.

weather trend 4 weeks: towards

Week of August 11 to 17: The heat could come back from the south

The reliability of the forecast becomes limited to this deadline. but France could remain under the influence of high pressures. Consequently, the sun would assert itself with even strong heat in the south of the Loire. Over the northern half, we would speak of simple summer heat. Thunderstorms. on the other hand, would remain quite diffuse and confined to reliefs, with limited overflows in the plain because of high pressures.

South Half Trend © LCM

Week of August 18 to 24: towards very hot. heavy weather

At this deadline, it is very difficult to establish a trend, with a strong divergence of models. However, an increasingly hot time is privileged for this period of August, with possibly very weather trend 4 weeks: towards surplus temperatures. Under a dynamic southwest flow. thunderstorm degradations could again concern the country, like the second half of June, under the usual axis of the Southwest to the northeast.

In summary, the month of August promises to be summer in the whole. If there is currently no new heat wave. heat wave signal, the evolution of time should be monitored, especially within the framework of the soil drought which could locally worsen.

This trend at 4 weeks, update every Thursday from 5 p.m., is likely to change significantly to each updating.