Where are they promised the “Révorsions” and “counterparts”?

At first reading the agreement is unbalanced. Similarly, While union swallows a bitter pill, no consideration is required from the United States. Moreover, In practice. Similarly, the EU will seek to expand the list of exempt goods and may not necessarily pay all its commitments.

On the US-State agreement, many has already been said, but very little about the shepherd’s response to the shepherdess. Meanwhile, And for good reason, there is none. However, “No retaliatory measure is planned, confirms Eric Dor, director of economic studies at the IESEG. Moreover, This is the trap of this fairly inequitable agreement”.

And indeed. In addition, despite the shock treatment applied to the European Union (raising customs duties at 15%, commitment to purchase energy products and signaling additional investments), no retaliatory counter-measures are provided for the United States. Furthermore, According to analysts, the European Union has chosen the path of where they promised “révorsions” “counterparts”? appeasement.

“The threat of 30% customs duty has been deemed credible,” explains Eric Dor. Moreover, We could have applied high customs duties in response to an increase in application of WTO rules during a. Nevertheless, transitional phase. Similarly, But we preferred to negotiate.

But according to the professor at the IESEG. In addition, the explanation of this turnaround also derives in a divided European Union, with some supporters of a hard line and others such as the Eastern countries who still depend on the transatlantic alliance for their security which preferred negotiation.

No rates of rates applicable to European products … In addition, but a decrease – Where they promised "révorsions" "counterparts"?

Despite the increase in rights applicable to European products. Similarly, customs duties applicable to imported American products should not increase. Nevertheless, The press release from the European Union presidency does not mention a possible recovery of taxes applicable to American products.

The average rate applicable where they promised “révorsions” “counterparts”? to American products oscillated around 3% details Bruno de Moura Fernandes, director of macroeconomic research in Coface.

“Certain products such as the automobile were actually taxed, other goods not at all, under the rules of free trade. The customs duty levels were quite low.”

The rates applied should therefore not increase … Worse, they could even decrease under the “Zero-For-Zero Tariff” applied to exemptions. According to Bloomberg’s note. the average rate of customs duties applied by the Union on American products should thus go below 1%!

An ironic opposite. while it was not so long ago, after the first salvo launched by Donald Trump threatening the EU with customs duties on steel and aluminum, the European Union had announced counter-tale in retaliation, targeting in particular soy or poultry. Mirror rights had also been mentioned.

The idea is therefore abandoned, as if 15% of rights were ultimately an acceptable threshold.

“It is also necessary where they promised “révorsions” “counterparts”? to have in mind that the import chain is long, analyzes Bruno de Moura Fernandes. American wholesalers. retailers could take charge of 80% of customs duties, either by transferring them to the consumer either by cropping on their margin. So the increase in rights is not as favorable for them”.

Retaliation measures will be abandoned – Where they promised "révorsions" "counterparts"?

The European Union will also rise on the retaliatory measures which had just been developed. However, it was last week … On July 23, the European Union adopted a packet of countermeasures – up to 100 billion wells were affected. In detail. in the event of excessive customs duties, the EU had provided additional customs duties from a rate of up to 30 % out of 93 billion euros in European imports of goods from the United States. Additionally, In response to the war against steel. aluminum triggered by Donald Trump, the agreement also provided where they promised “révorsions” “counterparts”? for the ban, as of September 7, 2025, from export to the United States of waste and steel and aluminum debris. With the agreement sealed in Scotland, everything is stored in the closet.

The EU will try to expand the list of exempt goods

But in reality. the European Union, weakened but not defeated will play another score. That of the defense of his categorical interests. As Bruno de Moura Fernandes notes, the EU will continue to negotiate the list of exemptions.

After aeronautics, the battle will embark on wines and spirits. If we get exemptions for wines and spirits, 30% of our exports will be exempt, which is not so bad. “

For the pharmaceutical sector. the battle promises to be more hazardous, because they are conditioned on the finalization of the investigation carried out on the American side. The publication of the final list of exemptions should take where they promised “révorsions” “counterparts”? place at the end of the week.

The EU may not respect its additional commitments

Beyond the increase in unilateral customs duties. Furthermore, the EU would also have voluntarily put other irons on the feet. Indeed two commitments are on the agenda: a volume of purchases of hydrocarbons. nuclear fuel and the arrow of 600 billion additional investments, in particular towards defense and security. But in practice. analysts believe that these commitments are very ambitious – and that they do not bind the European Union.

“The Commission has no taking on these purchases. the member countries do not have linked hands, notes Bruno de Moura Fernandes. China in 2018 had signed a similar agreement and did not comply with it.”

A not acquired ratification

And mass is not yet said. “The Commission has received a mandate to negotiate. but the agreement must still be endorsed by the member states where they promised “révorsions” “counterparts”? to the majority. We are not immune to a surprise!”, Records Eric Dor.

And indeed it is a qualified majority that must be found. With such a bad press, ratification is not acquired. It could pull in length. such as the validation of other trade agreements and perhaps exceed the duration of Trump’s mandate.

On the French side, supporters of a hard line, the pill is hard to swallow. Representatives of the economic sectors will be received Wednesday in Bercy to discuss the consequences of the USA-UE agreement. Without a doubt. the continuation of negotiations and the possibilities of softening the treatment reserved for the union will be on the menu.