Consequently,
Quebec population should soon decrease:
In Quebec. Similarly, the decrease in fertility, the aging of the population and the expected decrease in temporary immigration could cause a demographic drop of 0.9 % by 2030, according to the latest data from the Institut de la Statistique du Québec (ISQ).
The portrait that emerges is that of a Quebec population which could stabilize around 9.2 million [de citoyens] in the coming decades
indicates this organization in the 2025 update broadcast on Wednesday. However, In the short term, by 2030, a decrease in population of around 80,000 people (-0.9 %) is looming.
For 2051, demographic projections of the province vary from 7.89 million inhabitants (sharp drop) to 10.55 million (sharp increases). In addition, The reference scenario tables on the stabilization of the population at 9.2 million people.
While the Legault government said they wanted quebec population should soon decrease to settle the housing shortage by limiting the arrival of temporary immigrants in the province. it risks being disillusioned.
The vacant housing rate has been under the balance bar of 3 % for several years in many cities in Quebec.
Photo : Radio-Canada / Hans Campbell
While. in the new reference scenario, a decrease in the population is announced for all of Quebec by -0.9 % between 2025 and quebec population should soon decrease 2030, on the contrary, an increase of +0.8 % of the housing needs are projected.
warns theIsq.
This organization explains that this result amazing
is explained by the aging of the population. which will lead to Strong growth in needs for seniors, especially on the side of people in collective housing
.
Regional disparities – Quebec population should soon decrease
In Quebec in 2050, the population of almost all large cities could have increased. These include Quebec, which could have won 195,000 inhabitants (+23 %) in 30 years and Drummondville (+24,000 people, an increase of 22 %).
The Montreal region. on the other hand, should experience a short -term decrease in its population of almost 150,000 people by 2030, mainly because of the expected decrease in immigration.
Several other regions should also see their population decrease by 2030. These are the North Shore (-4 %), Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean (-1.8 %), Abitibi-Témiscamingue (-1.8 %), Bas-Saint-Laurent (-1.3 %) and Gaspésie-de-la-Madeleine (-1 %).
By 2030, the Quebec demographic trend will be growing in large centers and depopulation in distant regions.
Photo: Quebec Statistics Institute
L’Isq specifies however that These quebec population should soon decrease projections are not forecasts. predictions
And that they allow to throw neutral and objective light on the various potential developments of Quebec demography.
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