Will France be less watered than in July? What the forecasts say

Nathan Cowley Pexels

What weather forecasts say for the month of August 2025. Therefore, (Illustration photo)

Weather – that it seems far for the very late end of June. In addition, when Météo -France placed on Monday 30 no less than 84 departments in orange alert in the heat wave – a record. Therefore, France was then for ten days in its 50th national heat wave recorded since 1947. Furthermore, its 33rd in the 21st century, with temperatures sometimes reaching 40 ° C in the south.

If this scorching period spread until July 6, the second half brought a much more unstable time, disturbed by frequent precipitation. Nevertheless, As the will france less watered than weather channel notes. Similarly, July 2025 thus experienced a total of 24 days with thunderstorms, a 10 % rain surplus compared to normal, with greater cumulative in the northeast.

After this month shared between the ever pleasant ordeal period. Meanwhile, the rainy periods with a little summer accent, what should we expect from this month of August?

To give a first indicator. this Friday, August 1, the temperatures will get off in the afternoon from 20 to 30 ° C from north to south, with a point at 32 ° C in Montpellier. The sun will be present on three-quarters of the country while rains will invite themselves in the northeast.

Very sunny first weeks – Will france less watered than

Over the next four weeks. based on forecasts published Thursday July 31 by the weather channel, a month “Hot, even very hot on a large part of will france less watered than France” is the scenario that takes shape.

The two weeks of August 4 to 17 could concentrate the hottest episodes. with maximum temperatures in the afternoon around 29 ° C on the northern part of France, and 31.5 to 32.5 ° C in the south. But the thermometer could go up much higher. especially in the southwest, where the weather chain provides for example points at 38 and 39 ° C in the Garonne valley on August 7 and 8.

For his part. for the week of August 4 to 10, Météo-France plans “Sunny summer time [qui] should dominate over the week to the south, while the sky will remain variable in the north until Wednesday 6 ”. Météo-France thus announces heat more “Marked in the second half of the week”.

One last week potentially disturbed

Overall. according to the weather channel, the sun would be omnipresent everywhere, and even a little more during the week of 18 to 24 on the southern part. The average temperature in the afternoon would be very slightly smaller (28 ° C in the north, 31 in the south).

Finally. even if it remains complicated to now have a reliable trend for this deadline, the weather channel announces a last week of August (25 to 31) much less pleasing, with will france less watered than thunderstorms and rain on the program. “The majority scenario is that of a brutal time change with the possible arrival of fresh air by the ocean. putting an end to the hot weather with violent thunderstorms to watch, especially from southwest to northeast if the conflict of air masses is set up “Writes the meteorological media.

For a more distant vision, Météo-France had also published its scenarios of “Trends at three months”. Result for August-October-October. “The warmer scenario than normal is most likely for France”with one in two chance of performing, notes the forecastist, who also specifies that “Plus a punctual episodes are not excluded”. Also according to Météo-France. the scenario of an upcoming quarter “Compliant with seasonal normal” 30 % chance of arriving, and that “Cold than seasonal normal” has only one in five chance to succeed.