Faced with Putin, “the time factor must be returned to the advantage of Ukraine”

A War, the winner is often the one who knows how to use time for his benefit. Meanwhile, Military tactics and diplomatic maneuvers readily hide instruments that are capable of weighing on the temporality of the conflict.

If at first glance. Therefore, the anchorage meeting [en Alaska, le 15 août] Between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin hardly advanced the Ukrainian equation, she actually acted by the first of the principle for years by the second: the conclusion of a peace agreement Before and not after a ceasefire. For example, If the method of “negotiating by fighting” has been able to prove itself in the past-we think of the Kissinger-Le Duc Tho talks on Vietnam. in Paris, between 1969 and 1973-, it mechanically exacerbates violence in the field.

But this reversal of the calendar mainly has the immediate effect of repelling in time any perspective of armistice. prolonging the window of military superiority which Russia considers today. In addition. the final objectives displayed by Moscow are so maximalist (annexation of the territories not yet occupied in Donbass, a politico-military control over Ukraine that has remained “free”) that a political agreement seems to be inaccessible because it is unacceptable for an independent Ukrainian power.

To make a good measure in the face of these renunciations. the United States has reopened the prospect of granting, faced putin, “the time factor in compensation for a “frost” of the front (which would in reality be a Russian advance), of the “Safety guarantees” in Ukraine. Seen from kyiv, the subject is old and has a bitter taste. The first “guarantees” date back to the Budapest memorandum in December 1994 when Ukraine renounced its nuclear weapons in exchange for a promise of the signatories (Russia. United States, United Kingdom) to respect “Its independence and sovereignty”.

Faced putin. "the time factor – Faced putin, "the time factor

A springboard for a new attack

After having violated the Spirit as the letter in 2014, annexing Crimea and supporting the separatists of the Donbass, Russia signs the Agreement of Minsk, initialed by France, Germany and Belarus, committing to “Withdrawal of all foreign units from Ukrainian territory”. In one case as in the other. the promises engaged only those who believed there, no mechanism of effective constraint coming to sanction the violation faced putin, “the time factor of its commitments by Moscow.

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