Tim Guldimann, a former Swiss ambassador to Iran, believes that a conflict of the conflict between Iran, the United States and Israel is now very likely, but should not degenerate into “a great width war”. On the set of 7:30 p.m., he calls on Switzerland to show “courage”.
“Yes”, an escalation will take place, predicts Tim Guldimann, the big guest of 7:30 p.m. Sunday. But “the danger of climbing will especially depend on the reaction of the Iranians”, predicted the diplomat. And so far, they have remained rather back.
They could react in three ways, summarizes Tim Guldimann: “Launching rockets against Israel again” – which they already do – or attack the some “40,000 American soldiers in the region, which would be” very dangerous “.
Finally, the regime could decide to close the Strait of Ormuz, “which would directly affect other countries in the region”, but the former ambassador does not believe in this last scenario.
Can the Iranian regime still hold?
Donald Trump’s government says that he doesn’t wish to change the regime in Iran, but the diplomat – who represented American interests in Iran from 1999 to 2004 – made this statement with tweezers.
The United States has violated public international law […] And now they say ‘we are in a phase of peace’
“The question is whether we always believe the Americans. They tell one thing today, and tomorrow morning, the opposite,” he warned.
It’s a “blackmail”
Tim Guldimann still insists: by hitting Iran, the United States “violated public international law […] And now they say ‘we are in a phase of peace’ “.
Just after the strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites, President Donald Trump immediately pressed Iran to “make peace” with Israel during a solemn declaration at the White House.
>> Back in pictures on the American attack in Iran in the 19:30:
“It is not a proposal, it is a blackmail,” reacts the former Swiss ambassador to Tehran, since the United States threatens “to strike even stronger” if the Iranians do not cooperate.
>> See our live follow -up: Iran threatens the United States of reprisals, the UN warns against a “dead end”
Switzerland must be “courage”
So faced with this situation, what can Switzerland do, besides proposing its good offices? According to the specialist, the government should show “courage” by noting violations of public international law.
For Tim Guldimann, it is not necessarily necessary to condemn, but “simply to note” when an actor of the conflict breaks the laws, so that Switzerland remains a “credible” interlocutor for future conflicts.
Interview by Fanny Zürcher
Adaptation web: Doreen Enssle
