The birth rate is at half mast. The curve continues to sag with almost 20% less birth compared to 2010. Result: this year, for the first time since 1945, the number of deaths recorded over a year exceeds that of births in France.
We expected it, but it happens faster than expected. According to INSEE, the reversal of the curves was initially expected for 2035. It finally intervenes ten years in advance. Between May 2024 and May 2025, 650,000 births were recorded against 651,000 deaths. Demographers are now talking about a negative natural balance.
In question: a continuous decrease in the number of births – fertility has increased from 2 to 1.6 children per woman in ten years – but also an increase in deaths stronger than expected this year. A phenomenon which is explained by An influenza epidemic particularly virulent.
The executive closely follows this file with major consequences on our social protection system. Our whole model is indeed based on the balance between assets and retirees. However, the country loses an average of 30,000 births each year. If the trend continues, there will soon be More centenarians than children under 3 years old In France.
To reverse the dynamics, the government wants to revive the birth rate. Several measures will be put in place for this purpose, such as the opening of centers to freeze its oocytes, the proposal for free fertility assessments around 25 years, or even the increase in aid for the most precarious care mode. Ads are also expected regarding a remained parental leave.
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