Iran led a replica against the United States by targeting an American military basis of Qatar on Monday, but if the attacks did not victim, the future promises to be uncertain according to an expert.
“It’s very worrying as a situation. The combination of Trump and Israel is a dynamic that can escape control. We could even see the United States losing control of this situation, “deplores Rashad Antonius full professor at the retirement of the University of Quebec Sociology Department in Montreal (UQAM).
On Sunday, the United States made unprecedented strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran. Iran quickly replied “in response to this aggressive action” by attacking the largest American military base located in Qatar.
Revolutionary guards, the Iran’s ideological army, said six missiles had “touched” the American base.
The number of missiles drawn “was the same as the number of bombs” used by the American air force against Iranian nuclear installations on Sunday, which would suggest that it was a proportionate response.
US President Donald Trump, however, revealed that the Islamic Republic had previously warned Washington, while he is now pleading for “peace” between Iran and Israel.
“I want to thank Iran for warning us, which made it possible that no life was lost and that no person was injured,” said the American president during the day on his social social network on Monday.
On the other hand, the United States could surprise us when the attacks initially made in Iran yesterday occurred a few days after announcing to grant “a two-week stay” in the country.
“Trump, his trademark, is to be unpredictable and to surprise people. So his attack was planned and it was part of his strategy to make this announcement. As the Iranian attacks have not been injured, maybe he will not reply, “adds Professor Rachad Antonius.
Iran for its part, says it is “ready to answer again in the event of a new American attack”.
Dangerous climate
However, Israel decided to hit Tehran again on Monday by targeting a civil institution, the infamous Evin prison where political prisoners are in particular.
“We went into another world!” The consequences of what is playing is potentially dangerous for the whole world. We are in a context in which no one is bothering to respect international law, ”notes Marie-Joelle Zahar, Canadian political scientist and full professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Montreal.
Global issues
Beyond Israel, Iran and from now on from the United States, the situation that is currently taking place worried the population, as well as experts in international politics.
“With the increase in the number of actors involved, we are in another scenario than the initial scenario […] Israel and Trump want to assert their presence so much that it becomes worrying, “said Rashad Antonius.
For Marie-Joelle Zahar, in addition to insecurity, the message that this conflict sends to the rest of the world is extremely worrying.
“Open the door to nuclear proliferation, that is to say that we send as a signal to all countries that feel threatened than acquiring nuclear weapons without anyone being aware is a way of ensuring their protection. It’s very dangerous, ”she dropped.
In addition to prison, Monday’s Israeli strikes also targeted the Fordo nuclear site. In the wake of events, several airlines have interrupted their flights towards Qatar.
A sign of the unpredictability of the situation, the day after having mentioned on his social network a “regime change”, American president Donald Trump announced at the start of the evening on Monday that a cease-fire would be in force in the coming hours between Israel and Iran.
“It was fully agreed between Israel and Iran that there will be a complete and total ceasefire (in around 6 hours, once Israel and Iran have completed their current missions in progress), for a period of 12 hours, after which the war will be considered to be finished,” he said on Social Truth.
“Officially, Iran will start the ceasefire, then, at the 12the hour, Israel will start his, and at the 24the Hour, the official end of the 12 -day war will be greeted by the whole world, “added the American president.
