Published on August 15, 2025 at 11:25 p.m.
Quebec lives a dry sequence that could be extended until mid-September. Despite some rain opportunities, the trend of the next few weeks suggests headaches for farmers and lovers of green lawns.
A well -installed drought
A cold front will cross south and eastern Ontario as well as southern Quebec on Saturday evening and Sunday. Localized showers and thunderstorms could accompany this system, but this precipitation will remain insufficient to fill the water deficit accumulated for weeks.
Long -term forecasts confirm a dry trend that will continue at least until the beginning of September. The only significant rain occasions will come from storm systems linked to the fire belt (“Ring of Fire”) – this area where two air masses, cold in the north and warm in the south, meet – or in the passage of cold fronts. “The latter, and it is typical of August, could have more biting due to more marked air masses than previously this summer,” said Meteorologist Réjean Ouimet.
Can we hope for help from the tropics?
Another option that could generate rain: tropical systems. The tropical storm Erin, which became the first hurricane in the Atlantic on Friday, is expected to reach the major hurricane stadium this weekend.
Its still uncertain trajectory should have it along the American coast offshore, and could pass near the Canadian Atlantic provinces. Raws would be beneficial for these regions struggling with large forest fires. For Quebec, however, nothing indicates that Ecrine will overthrow the dry trend.
But after Erin should come Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, etc. “We are approaching the heart of the hurricanes season and the tropics should come into boiling,” recalls Réjean Ouimet. The anticyclone above the Atlantic which earns us a warm and quiet summer will act as a pivot for storms ”.
The peak of the season, where we observe the greatest number of storms, and often those which are the most devastating, is located around September 10.
