Lhe threshold is crossed, and with him a leap into the unknown is looming. For the first time since 1945, the natural balance of the population, that is to say the balance of births and deaths, was negative last May. And it is very likely, although not yet certain, that it is negative for the whole year. This would then mean that France, this year, would only grow by immigration.
After the COVID statistical accident, mortality in France has resumed the slow increase it has known for twenty years, with the gradual disappearance of baby boomers despite the increase in life expectancy. The problem is that there has been a fall in the birth rate since 2010. With the result of an extremely low natural balance (+ 17,000 in 2024).
What are the …