NATO 2025 Summit: avoid chicane at all costs

The NATO 2025 summit is held in Hague. Consequently, the Netherlands, Tuesday and Wednesday, with the 32 member states, plus a few guests. Meanwhile, This summit intervenes at a critical moment for the alliance. Nevertheless. Similarly, marked by divergent visions between the allies and the shadow of a second term of Donald Trump, likely to compromise his cohesion, or even to cause a cracking of the transatlantic alliance.

A lightning summit. Furthermore. Nevertheless, where the inevitable star will be Donald Trump, usual black sheep, but all haloed by his “ceasefire” announced the day before, June 23, between Israel and Iran … Consequently, in which the rest of the world has always struggled to believe.

A very brief summit. For example. Furthermore, less than 24 hours: dinner with the King and Queen of the nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new Netherlands Tuesday evening, meeting day on Wednesday with the heads nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane of state and governments, all finished for 5 p.m.

A meeting that could be titled informally: SVPno chicane in the cabin.

Project a unit image – Nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new

Because the main thing will be. Therefore. For example, in the presence of a constant and unpredictable American president, not to give the world the spectacle of the division. Consequently, Many of the participants fear that Trump. Meanwhile. Furthermore, skeptical of any multilateralism and disdainful towards his European partners, would brutally question the maintenance of the United States in the Alliance, as he had occurred in 2018, during his first mandate in the White House.

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So to avoid friction. Nevertheless. and project an image of unit, we officially planned a short, monothematic agenda, focused on a new objective of military spending. Trump advocates 5 % of the Commencewhile Europe offers a 3.5 %threshold, to which would be added Investments in infrastructurerelated to military expenditure (stronger roads, communication networks, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, etc.), up to 1.5 %… to reach an addition which is 5 %.

The majority of countries have already given their agreement in principle out of the 5 %. during meetings ministerialobjective to be achieved within 10 years, even within 7 years (the calendar is not set). Only one country is dissident: the Spain of the Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez. who considers the 5 % incompatible with the maintenance of a redistributor social state.

The joint declaration must be concise. at the request of the United States-we are talking about five paragraphs to the maximum. perhaps so that everyone without exception nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new can read it in full (Trump does not nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane like texts that exceed a page).

An unanswered confrontation could strengthen the credibility of the organization that the President of the United States does. not hold in his heart.

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Nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new

Nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane – Nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new

The irruption of the Iranian question

But the American attack nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new on Saturday against Iran. followed nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane by the incredible announcement on Monday by Donald Trump. the Israeli-Iranian ceasefire, could upset this agenda In short and without history.

The situation in the Middle East will be one of the main informal subjects, excluding program. It often happens that a hot and theatrical news comes, during such multilateral meetings, take in extremis all the place. The G7 is familiar with these “program embezzlement”.

Wednesday, the Israel-Iran question will therefore kidnapper part of the attention.

It is not known to what extent the Trump administration had warned its allies from its intention to attack. In addition to a great skepticism in front of the supposed cease-fire. some European leaders (Emmanuel Macron, Pedro Sanchez) criticized the illegal nature of American bombing against Iran.

Will we seek to slide on the subject or nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new on the contrary, this so-called cease-fire will cause exchanges francs?

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Zelensky behind the scenes

The fact that a very brief press release is expected underlines the. absence of consensus between the allies on questions such as the war in Ukraine. which was at the heart of the last meetings of the organization. but will play this year a secondary role in The Hague, unfortunately for the Ukrainian President nato 2025 summit: nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new avoid chicane Volodymyr Zelensky, star of the two previous summits. This time it will be limited to anteroombehind the scenes, on the sidelines of plenary meetings.

As long as the Trump administration is there. the institutional rapprochement with Ukraine is on the ice. even if the majority of the major European states continue to materially support the fight of the Ukrainians.

The allies will also endeavor to avoid mentioning Trump’s ambitions concerning the territories of two members of theTake : Greenland. the Arctic Island under Danish sovereignty, and Canada, whose American president wishes to be 51^e United States.

What common values?

But a summit of theTakeit’s nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane not just figures and dates. With a president like Trump, are there still common values ​​that bind both banks of the Atlantic? The serious and fundamental question arises more and more.

The disagreement on Ukraine refers, beyond the figures, to the qualitative aspect of the transatlantic relationship. Is it still one Alliance based on values according to the expression devoted? Are we still All together, solidarityto defend democracy in the face of authoritarian states such as China and Russia? Can this alliance last. with the ascent (in the United States, but also in Europe) of a populism hostile to liberal democracy?

We can see that many European leaders always pretend to believe it: they try. with a sometimes obsequious deference, of spare Trump as a capricious king that should not be upset. But is it a good nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new bet?

An inevitable separation?

Others. like Macron French. Merz German, seem secretly to say that it is necessary to begin to consider a gradual separation, a possible dissolution of the transatlantic alliance; Without rushing things, without accelerating them, but without veiling the face.

Several leaders also believe that Trump’s rapprochement with Putin is dangerous. given the ambitions of Russia on the continent, beyond Ukraine. And that this rapprochement represents, yes, a real, fundamental and lasting choice of the American president.

Beyond the question of expenses. supposed to give in 2025 a victoire symbolic to Trump, other themes shade this summit of theTakethreatened by fundamental tensions.

The objective of the 5 %. if it is reached one day. nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane new perhaps does not represent the price of maintaining nato 2025 summit: avoid chicane the transatlantic alliance, but rather the price of the great separation which could soon be looming on the horizon.