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The Energy Regulatory Commission (CRE) recently announced for July 2025 a natural gas benchmark price which could be beneficial for many consumers. With a price of € 136.36/MWh incl. Tax, this price marks a slight decrease compared to the previous month. This reflects a downward trend that has been continuing for several months, thus offering consumers a precious tool to compare the available offers on the market. This situation has proven to be particularly interesting since the abandonment of prices regulated in 2023, making the comparison between the offers all the more crucial.
The evolution of the sale price of gas in 2025
The year 2025 began with a significant increase in gas prices, a phenomenon that has alarmed many consumers. However, from April, a reversal of this trend was observed. In April, the price of gas amounted to € 150.70/MWh including tax, then dropped to € 142.77/MWh TTC in May. The decline continued in June with a rate of € 136.61/MWh incl. Tax, to finally reach € 136.36/MWh TTC in July. This development indicates a progressive stabilization of prices, thus relieving consumers after a tumultuous start to the year.
The following table summarizes this evolution:
| Month | Prix (€/MWh TTC) |
|---|---|
| Avril 2025 | 150,70 |
| May 2025 | 142,77 |
| June 2025 | 136,61 |
| July 2025 | 136,36 |
Composition of the gas benchmark price
The gas benchmark price is a complex construction which integrates various elements reflecting the real costs of suppliers. Three main categories make up this price:
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Supply costs : These costs, updated monthly, depend on fluctuations in the wholesale market. They are regulated by a decree which fixes a representative reference of the current supply costs.
Outstanding costs : They include transport, storage costs and commercial charges. These costs are revised bi-annual, with adjustments in April for transport and storage, and in July for distribution.
Taxes and contributions : Including VAT, the internal consumption tax on natural gases (TICGN), and the transport rate contribution (CTA), these samples vary according to the geographic location of the consumer.
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Understanding these components is crucial for consumers wishing to anticipate the variations in the price of gas and adapt their energy choices accordingly.
Analysis of factors influencing gas prices
Variations in the price of gas in 2025 arise from multiple factors influencing the market. The main determinant is the evolution of prices on the wholesale market, where fluctuations are directly reflected in the supply costs of suppliers. In July, price stabilization suggests an lull on European energy markets.
Seasonality also plays a preponderant role. Summer leads to a decrease in heating needs, thus reducing demand and contributing to the decline in the prices observed.
THE Geopolitical tensions And European energy policies also influence these prices. Supply diversification strategies, aimed at reducing dependence on Russian gas, have enabled a certain stabilization.
Finally, regulatory adjustments, such as updating distribution costs on July 1, explain the variations observed. These adjustments, although moderate, impact the final price paid by consumers.
Consequences for consumers
The recent drop in the gas landmark price offers several advantages to French consumers. By extending the downward trend started in May, it stabilizes household energy expenditure. After a period of significant increases, this development favorable relieves the budget of households, especially those using gas for heating.
However, it is crucial to recall that this landmark price is above all indicative. Suppliers build their offers freely depending on various factors. Thus, prices on the market may differ from this reference, in particular for fixed price offers.
Consumers must therefore compare offers, pay attention to contractual options, and analyze their consumption profile. By remaining informed of forecasts, they can optimize their contracts and control their energy expenses.
While the downward trend seems to be confirmed, how can consumers continue to benefit from these developments while anticipating any future changes in the energy sector?
The author relied on artificial intelligence to enrich this article.
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