A “third world war” between NATO and Russia would cost expensive: here is the amount evaluated by Bloomberg

No American help? – "third world war" between nato

If Russia militarily invades the Baltic countries. Meanwhile, NATO members, the United States must in principle apply article 5 of the intergovernmental organization. However, “”He stipulates that if a NATO country is the victim of an armed attack. In addition, each member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack on all members and will take the measures he will consider necessary to come to the aid of the attacked country, ” Defines NATO. Meanwhile, But Donald Trump. In addition, on the way to the Hague to attend a summit of the Atlantic Alliance, remains ambiguous on the layout of his country to apply it. However, “”It depends on your definition. Consequently, There are several ways to define article 5 “, nuance the president, questioned on this subject. However, Bloomberg plans. “third world war” between nato Similarly, fictitiously, that the president cleared up of any intervention, simply contenting himself to call “To peace and not to war” or urging Europe to “Negotiate with Vladimir”.

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Imagine that Europe must defend the integrity of its territory without direct American aid. It is very likely that countries like Sweden. Finland, Norway and Poland directly send aid to the Baltic countries, which would certainly be the first aims as ex-members of the USSR. These countries will see in Russian actions an existential threat to European security. a risk that they can be the next target of Russia, after Ukraine.

“The key ports would be closed and trade in the Baltic Sea would stop. The markets would plunge. The two parties would probably engage in hybrid operations. including against submarine “third world war” between nato cables and energy infrastructure”still anticipates the American media. Such a situation would lead to a drop in GDP of the Baltic countries estimated at -43.4 %, against -1.2 % for Europe and -0.2 % for the United Kingdom. The Russian economy. for its part, would suffer a loss of 1 %, a relatively minor blow because the existing sanctions (because of the war in Ukraine, editor’s note) wasolated it from external pressure and its higher defense expenses create a mirage of economic health.

Russia cannot afford peace: “It lives under military infusion. its system depends on the war economy”

The estimated fall in world GDP of 1.3 % in the first year of conflict would nevertheless be a hell of a blow to the world economy. This would include costs linked to lost production in the conflict area. spinoffs on European supply chains, the reduction of Russian oil and “third world war” between nato gas exports, higher European defense expenses and increased uncertainty worldwide.

Europe and Turkey (also a member of NATO) bring together nearly 1.9 million active military forces then ready to enter the conflict. Including the armies of air, earth, navy and other forces as in the cyber. Russia has 1.1 million, and its Belarusian ally 48,600, still estimates the media.

Countries with nuclear weapons, namely France and the United Kingdom in Europe, would be careful about their use. Fearing a nuclear escalation, they would not risk attacking Russia on this front, according to Bloomberg’s scenario. Baltic countries could go so far as to completely ignore Russian nuclear deterrence. so they are “accustomed to threats from Putin “.

The projections of a “third world war” remain “reassuring” nevertheless. Such a conflict, according to Bloombergshould not drag on. “”Many Western officials believe that none of the parties “third world war” between nato has the resources necessary to carry out a decisive breakthrough. win the war directly, so that the conflict will ultimately have to end with a negotiated settlement “he projects.