What date can Bayrou fall? The RN and the left meet

43.8 billion euros in savings. Consequently, This is the objective unveiled by François Bayrou, Tuesday July 15, during the presentation of his tracks for the 2026 budget. Meanwhile, We are more than two months before the opening of the debates in the Assembly. Nevertheless, the start of the examination of the finance bill in Parliament, but the Prime Minister has already exposed himself by announcing to reduce the deficit to 4.6 %, against 5.8 what date can bayrou fall? % currently.

Aware of the risk of censorship. Furthermore, François Bayrou chose to open the debate on the 2026 budget after the start of the parliamentary holidays, but several weeks before the arrival of the text in the National Assembly. Therefore, A precious delay during which. Consequently, despite their leave, elected officials will discuss the position to adopt and decide on the deposit and support or not of a censorship motion. Nevertheless, But the measures announced this Tuesday. Therefore, in particular on the purchasing power of retirees, on the establishment of a “white year” and on the abolition of two holidays already tends the opposition parties.

The left wind standing against Bayrou – What date can bayrou fall?

Some parties have already made known their way of thinking, France rebellious in mind. Moreover, “Obviously that at the start of the school year. Consequently, we will deposit a new motion of censorship,” reaffirmed Manuel Bompard, national coordinator what date can bayrou fall? of LFI, Tuesday July 15 on Franceinfo. Moreover, “We have always been consistent. Meanwhile, We challenge François Bayrou’s policy. Furthermore, we try to censor it,” added the deputy for Bouches-du-Rhône stressing that all occasions are good to try to overthrow the government. Therefore, Jean-Luc Mélenchon judges that it is “urgent to put an end to Macronie. Moreover, You have to make Bayrou leave”. Similarly, For the deputy LFI Eric Coquerel. Consequently, the calculation is very simple: “If this budget remains in the state, there will be a 49.3. Meanwhile, We will propose a motion of censorship. However, we will vote it,” he launched at the end of the afternoon this Tuesday.

On the socialist side. Moreover, a clear position is now established, since Tuesday evening: as it is, “the only possible perspective is censorship,” assured the first secretary of the Socialist Party Olivier Faure. “Always ask those who have little what date can bayrou fall? more … and so little of those who have a lot is neither serious nor effective nor just. A brutal and unacceptable budget,” denounces Boris Vallaud, president of the PS group in the National Assembly. Marine Tondelier – National EELV secretary – simply evokes a “shame”. “7 years of macronism is +1000 billion euros in debt and the multiplication of gifts to ultra-rich. And today, who must toast? Public services, health, pensions, workers and ecology of course”, launches the environmentalist on X.

RN favorable to Bayrou censorship … – What date can bayrou fall?

As often, the votes of the National Rally (RN) will be decisive after a motion of censorship. Jordan Bardella has already said that “no deputy” of the RN would accept the suppression of two holidays. This makes the horizon of censorship on this budget quite inevitable. If all the left forces support censorship. they will not be numerous enough to overthrow the what date can bayrou fall? government: 192 votes out of the 289 required to reach the absolute majority. The 123 votes of the RN (135 by adding those of the Ciottist allies) will be necessary. The Vice-President RN had warned on France Inter during the vote of the previous censorship motion. to which the elected lepenists had not joined: “the turn of François Bayrou will come at the time of the budget”.

Now that the time has come. Sébastien Chenu confirms on BFMTV that the RN will vote the motion of censorship “If François Bayrou wants to make the pockets of the French”. The party of Marine Le Pen actually poses several red lines. as he had done with Michel Barnier before censoring him: no tax increase and no modification of retirement pensions. More generally, the RN refuses that additional efforts be requested from the French.

“If François Bayrou does not see his copy again. what date can bayrou fall? we will censor him,” warned Marine Le Pen, after the presentation of the Prime Minister’s plan. “Emmanuel Macron. François Bayrou are unable to make real savings and have yet another bill to the French” and “no economy on the cost of immigration, subsidies with intermittent energies” has been presented by the head of government, she regrets. The conditions therefore do not appear fulfilled. The pensions of frozen pensions, the indirect tax increases induced by the white year … Additionally, The reasons seem sufficient to censor François Bayrou in an entire branch of the RN. already irritated by the non-participation of the party at the motion of censorship in early June.

The deputy RN du Loiret Thomas Ménéée already gave “an appointment in October” to the government of François Bayrou. implying a possible censorship in early fall. “His only plan is to always pay the same: the French who work. who what date can bayrou fall? are already clubbed,” regrets the elected official. Same story with Laure Lavalette, spokesperson for the RN group in the National Assembly: “Stop the carnage. In front of censorship,” she said on X.

What date can bayrou fall?

… except turnaround?

The RN could however open a negotiation door. and the Prime Minister could count on future discussions with the extreme right, by presenting its measures as a work base … It must be said that the RN could also consider advantages to see the Béarnais stay in Matignon. By passing a rather austere 2026 budget. at the very least synonymous with reduction of expenses, the government could be of service to the party which will win the presidential election of 2027, including if it is the RN, by cleaning up the public accounts. “If the cleaning has not been done before our election, the markets will not forgive us. The pressure what date can bayrou fall? will be immense. It would be more moral whether it be Macronie to make the hard decisions necessary to settle the Macronist. catastrophic management …”, explains an RN ranking. A logic already mentioned during the examination of the 2025 budget. “We will not censor you if you do the job. ” said Jean-Philippe Tanguy to the Bercy ministers of the Barnier government before the budget included too large tax increases.

Another argument capable of hesitating the RN in the face of a motion of censorship: to overthrow the Bayrou. government is to call the appointment of a new Prime Minister. Which could be accompanied by new legislative elections now that Emmanuel Macron has regained his power of dissolution. A new ballot in which Marine Le Pen could not try to recover her seat as a deputy because. of her ineligibility pronounced during the trial of parliamentary assistants.