Asked to analyze the situation, Dave Sinardet, professor of political science at VUB and UClouvain-Brussels, notes the pressure that is exercised on the parties of the center and on the left within Arizona. The evolution of the situation in Gaza and the fact that more and more countries are positioned, in particular on the recognition of the Palestinian State, change the situation. “”Even the Netherlands, a historically very pro-Israeli country, has now also taken a firmer position“, Underlines Dave Sinardet.”So, it is logical that the pressure is also stronger on the parties which have already said for a long time that they want a firmer position against Israel, Vooruit, the CD&V and the committed“, he adds. This would explain that these three parties feel”the need to communicate a lot about it and to exist on this question“, estimates the political scientist.”But will the real question be that at a certain time they will really demand around the government table a firmer position of Belgium or not?“Asks Dave Sinardet.
And there, nothing is certain. It is not known when the government is again grasping the issue. As we said, Prime Minister Bart de Wever is on vacation until the end of the weekend of August 15. Then, before the general assembly of the UN to be held at the end of September, there is still time. It remains to be seen what the parties most in favor of a strong position in Belgium towards Israel will want. “”Either we really type on the table and we say that the government must meet now and the position must change, or we do not find the file important enough to really have a government crisis, but make declarations every day without typing on the table of government is not very credible“Estime Dave Sinardet.
Governments generally do not come across foreign policy issues
If these parties end up hitting the table on the table, will it be worth a government crisis? “”Governments generally do not fall on foreign policy issues. In addition, generally, parties that drop the government do not benefit from the next elections“, Note Dave Sinardet. However,” uncontrollable dynamics “can always appear, he adds.”For example, no one at first thought that the Michel government would come across the signing of the famous UN migration pact, and finally, it still happened“, Recalls the political scientist. So, will the Arizona coalition tank because of the” Gaza “file by the end of September? M evil who could say it.
