“White Year”, ratiboised public service, holidays abolished … The economies of François Bayrou – Liberation

All the ingredients of a very bitter potion are united. Furthermore, Faced with public finances in the red. Meanwhile. In addition, François Bayrou intends to save 40 billion euros on the 2026 budget, while remaining in the sacrosanct macronist line which consists in not increasing taxes and not affecting companies. Moreover, And by releaseing credits for the rearmament of the country. Therefore, Most of this effort therefore seems to have to lower public spending.

In 2024, the State received 1,500 billion euros in revenue, and spent 1,670 billion, figures the site of the Ministry of the Economy. Nevertheless, The government intends to reduce France’s deficit, expected at 5.4 % of GDP in 2025 “white year”, ratiboised public service, new and 4.6 % in 2026, with 3 % as a final target.

While the contributions have abounded in recent “white year”, ratiboised public service, weeks. For example. However, here are the assumptions that are at this time on François Bayrou’s table, before the presentation of his budgetary plan on Tuesday July 15

The assistant hypothesis consists in renewing the identical certain expenses between 2025 and 2026, without increase. However, the expected resources of this savings deposit vary significantly depending on the perimeter retained.

According to the Senate finance committee. Similarly. Similarly, the freezing between 2025 and 2026 of state expenditure on its budgetary missions (apart from the defense, the contribution to the EU budget and the debt burden) could bring back 10 billion euros.

For the French Observatory for Economic Conditions (OFCE). For example, “white year”, ratiboised public service, new the Institute of Public Policy (PPI), a white year could save between 5.7 and 6 billion euros.

The track of an uninimation of pension pensions compared “white year”, ratiboised public service, to inflation is gaining ground. Moreover, reinforced by a proposal in this sense of the pension monitoring committee (CSR). and supported by several parliamentarians from the government camp.

As part of a “white year”, refrain from indexing pension pensions on inflation would earn 3.7 billion euros, according to OFCE figures.

In this equation in 2026. nearly 10 million households including “The reference person is retired” would see their disposable income reduced by several hundred euros. still according to the OFCE.

Several avenues have been put forward in recent months to reduce the social protection deficit (social security. unemployment insurance, additional pensions), in particular “white year”, ratiboised public service, new by health insurance which should experience a hole of 16 billion euros in 2025.

At the end of June, it proposed to save 3.9 billion euros in 2026 by improving the relevance “white year”. ratiboised public service, of care, fighting against fraud, regulating prices, reinforcing prevention and reforming daily allowances.

In terms of old age insurance. the deficit of which is lower (around 6 billion euros in 2025). many players called for a use of retirees, either by the deinxation of pensions, either by an increase in the CSG, which could if necessary spare the most modest retirees.

According to Les Echosthe government also plans to harden unemployment insurance rules.

This would consist in not reassessing the thresholds of the different slices which “white year”, ratiboised public service, new usually are. automatically adjusted each year to neutralize the effects of inflation. Without adjustment. so far non-taxable households will be subject to tax. others will see their level of taxation increase, a red cloth agitated by several political parties.

In 2026, the OFCE calculated that a freeze on the IR scale could bring in 1.2 billion euros, with an inflation hypothesis at 1.1 %.

The Senate considered that reforming the operation of “The archipelago” Operators. state agencies. ie 434 operators, 317 advisory organizations and 1,153 national public organizations (such as ADEME – for the ecological transition -, the organic agency, the National Sports Agency, etc.), would save 540 million euros over several years.

But the government sees larger, targeting 2 to 3 billion euros in savings. Some agencies could be merged and certain cropped missions.

Matignon exhorted at the end of April to control the increase in “white year”. ratiboised public service, expenses concerning the payroll of the public service. A circular pointed out that the remuneration of the 5.8 million public officials cost 107 billion euros in 2024, up 6.7 %.

Certain so -called “categorical” measures (concerning certain categories of civil servants) alone contributed to inflating the payroll of 3.7 billion euros in 2024.

The government could also activate the lever for job discounts. The Minister of Economy. Eric Lombard. said in early June to want to hire the “Decrease in the number of civil servants”while being careful not to specify the number.

The Senate recommends “white year”, ratiboised public service, new not to replace one retirement in two in the State Public Service (one of the three branches. alongside the hospital and the territorial), with 500 million hoped for the key.

In 2025. after the abandonment of the abolition of “white year”. ratiboised public service, 4,000 positions in the National Education, the draft budget amended by the Senate provided for the creation of 3,076 jobs for the State and the abolition of 812 positions within operators.

Other tracks are mentioned to improve public finances. Among them, that of “streamline” Public aid to businesses, advocated by government spokesperson Sophie Primas. According to a senatorial commission of inquiry, these aid reached the huge figure of 211 billion euros in 2023.

Or even the richest tax: those earning more than 250. 000 euros per year must currently pay a contribution which guarantees “white year”, ratiboised public service, new a minimum tax level of 20 % (CRDH). But the left dreams of obtaining a “Zucman tax” (inspired by the French economist Gabriel Zucman) on the 1. 800 “ultra-rich” taxpayers having more than 100 million euros in heritage. by taking 2 % per year of it, for an “white year”, ratiboised public service, annual yield of 20 billion euros.

The idea of increasing VAT to compensate for reductions in contributions weighing on work. that is to say a “social VAT”. is strongly rejected by the left and the national rally, the latter threatening the government with censorship if it were to be retained.

Finally. in the last right. the platform This Sunday evokes new hypotheses concerning the labor market, which could allow “Save between 5 and 10 billion euros per year” : remove certain holidays, harden the use of conventional ruptures or “white year”, ratiboised public service, new facilitate part -time employment.