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Customs duties: american consumer not new: Moreover. For example,
Customs duties: american consumer not:
On the eve of a highly anticipated report on inflation. Moreover, investors are still trying to answer a question: who will pay customs duties? For example. So far, companies have absorbed most of the additional costs, but consumers should feel the impact in the coming months. However,
The load can only be distributed between 3 actors: importers, exporters and consumers. However, Customs duties cannot be painless. Moreover, Either companies “eat tariffs” to use a formula by Donald Trump, and in this case the margins decrease. In addition, Either consumers take the shock, and in this case inflation go up.
Who will pay the bill? – Customs duties: american consumer not new
At this stage, it is rather the companies that are affected. Moreover, According to a study by Goldman Sachs, until June, consumers have absorbed only 22% of customs duties. customs duties: american consumer not new The rest is distributed among American (64%) and foreign (14%) customs duties: american consumer not companies.
But economists of the American bank expect the sharing of the burden to evolve in the coming. months. The share paid by consumers should reach 67% if we follow the customs duties scheme previously applied.
If consumers have not paid for the moment only a low share of the additional cost. it is first of all because companies have formed stocks at the beginning of the year. and the price increases will arrive as these stocks are renewed.
Especially since the reciprocal customs duties. drawn by Donald Trump in early April and several times pushed, finally entered into force last week. Now, each country is taxed by 15 to 50%, less various sectoral exemptions. According to Bloomberg estimates, the average rights rate in the United States is now 15.2%.
Transitional inflation?
At customs duties: american consumer not new this stage, inflation data showed only first signs of the impact of prices. Economists expect customs duties: american consumer not the ICC published tomorrow to be a little higher than that of the previous month. 2.8% over a year.
If everyone anticipates a rise in inflation in the coming months. the whole question is whether this is temporary or durable. In the first case, the Fed can lower rates. In the second. the price increases then turn up as a rise in wages, which themselves push companies to set up prices … Ultimately, inflation settles sustainably and the Fed must keep a restrictive monetary policy.
At this stage, it is difficult to be final on one or the other of the options. It will still take time to decide this question. This is what Jerome Powell pointed out during the last Fed meeting: “I think we have learned that the. customs duties: american consumer not new process will probably be slower than expected at first. And we think we have a long way to go before customs duties: american consumer not really understanding how. it will go”.
Customs duties: american consumer not
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