Bayrou faced with the risk of a break with unions

DThey weeks after the announcements of bayrou faced risk break unions new François Bayrou aimed at stabilizing public debt on the horizon of 2029. Nevertheless, the government was able to measure the degree of hostility they arouse in unions. For example, On July 21. For example. three power stations, the CGT, FO and the CFE-CGC, refused to go to the consultation organized by Astrid Panosyan-Bouvet, the Minister responsible for Labor and Employment. Additionally, For example, The CFDT. Meanwhile. the CFTC, which responded, marked their indignation after having read the main lines of the unemployment insurance reform defended by the executive.

New hardening of the conditions of access to compensation. new decrease in its duration, tightening the system of conventional ruptures. This third round of screws in five years. intended to generate between 3. 4 billion euros in cruise rate savings, appears to be too much: no serious impact study was carried out to assess the effect of the previous reforms on the return to employment, while the government highlights 450,000 positions not provided. In a more than gloomy situation, the risk is great to increase precariousness and poverty.

Cornered by the need to act quickly. strong. the executive is tempted to rely on the polls rather than on the unions to adjust, before the start of the school year, the major measures of its plan. It is not aware how difficult it is for the latter to bayrou faced risk break unions organize bayrou faced risk break unions new strong. mobilizations around the defense of. the unemployed. He also sees how the theme of abuse propagated by the extreme right and the right marks points. According to an Elabe survey for BFM-TV carried out in the aftermath of the Prime Minister’s announcements. 82 % of French people support its desire to strengthen controls on long-term sick leave. Conversely, the planned abolition of two holidays is very unpopular.

Bayrou faced risk break unions new

Bayrou faced risk break unions

Long -term reforms required

Doing without the. unions would not be a first under the double five -year term of Emmanuel Macron. but the more the tension increases with them. the more the head of government is exposed to the risk of censorship from the left to the fall. In recent months. François Bayou had on the contrary attempted. through the “conclave” on pensions, to put the CFDT and the bayrou faced risk break unions new reformist unions in the bayrou faced risk break unions game. The dynamics are now broken.

The magnitude of the adjustments to be provided to reduce the public deficit of 5.4 % of GDP in 2025 to 2.8 % in 2029 requires long -term reforms. Those advocated by the government are articulated around “working more to produce more”. They have no chance of succeeding if the social partners. involved in the life of the company. are not encouraged to find a minimum of consensus, if the feeling develops that it is always bayrou faced risk break unions new the same who pay and if the subjects of the bayrou faced risk break unions attractiveness of labor and its remuneration are not treated in parallel.

Compared to their European neighbors. companies, in France, less quickly integrate young people on the job market and get rid of seniors more quickly. Acting on these two levers to increase the volume of work appears to be the most credible track. but it assumes that everyone plays the game, including employers. However. the latter tends to discard too much by invoking the harshness of international competition. the high level of the cost of labor. If he wants to succeed. the government must remind him more firmly that he is an essential partner of the social contract.