Nevertheless,
Falling births: where france compared:
- In 2023, the fertility index rose to France at 1.66 children per woman, according to INSEE data published on Tuesday.
- Only Bulgaria exceeds France and the podium is completed by Hungary.
- Despite a structural drop in births. Moreover, France should not reach the bottom of the medium -term classification, according to demographer Gilles Pison, interviewed by TF1info.
– Falling births: where france compared
The fall in births continued in France in 2024, of the order of 2.8% over a year, the INSEE announced Tuesday, July 29. Moreover, In question, a decline in fertility. In addition, In other words, French women have fewer and fewer children, regardless of their age and falling births: where france compared social background. Consequently, The trend is confirmed by the cyclical fertility index (ICF): while in 2010 French women gave birth to 2.02 babies on average during life, this figure is now 1.66. Moreover, If the figure is down, in the European Union, only Bulgaria is doing better. In addition, An astonishing situation. Consequently, but which does not surprise Gilles Pison, demographer at the National Institute of Demographic Studies (INED), interviewed by TF1info.
We can always have surprises. Moreover, no one had anticipated the baby boom after the Second World War
We can always have surprises. Moreover, no one had anticipated the baby boom after the Second World War
Gilles Pison, demographer at the INED
In France, the number of children per woman has only dropped for 15 years, recalls the researcher: “The reversal was done at the time of the economic crisis of 2007-2008. In addition, This stopped the increase that has been observed since the 1990s.”
However, hexagon has always falling births: where france compared remained well above the EU average, which was established in 2023 at 1.38.
At the bottom of the ranking, we find Malta (1.05 children per woman), Spain (1,12) or Lithuania (1,19). If the fall in births continues, could France reach these historically low levels? “It would be very surprising”
ensures Gilles Pison. who nevertheless refuses to any prognosis: “Everyone can make their assumptions about the minimum threshold that it will reach and around which it will stabilize. But we can always have surprises, no one had anticipated the baby boom after the Second World War!”
The influence of public policies on the birth rate
With the drop in this statistical indicator. France is found in a situation comparable to that of Bulgaria (1.81), Hungary (1.55) and Romania (1.54), according to the latest Eurostat data. It is thus the only country in falling births: where france compared Western Europe as high in the ranking. Our closest neighbor, Germany, is very close to the European average.
Despite its relative dropout, fertility in France remains much higher than that recorded across the Rhine, around 1.4. For Gilles Pison. who is also a professor emeritus at the National Museum of Natural History in Paris, the gap can be widening with the implementation of public policies: “Berlin has developed an important family policy in terms of the national budget. But precise measures vary in particular in terms of the schooling of young children. In Germany, they only come to school, and only in the morning. This poses a real concern for working parents.”
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From there to lower the desire for a child? Impossible to know it for certainly. but the hypothesis is advanced by many researchers: “Some women repel pregnancy to continue working. In Germany, for a long time, keeping your baby very early was frowned upon. Even if it evolves, it is still the case today.”
Prejudices could therefore also play a role in the evolution of the fertility index. explain the differences with our neighbors.
According to the latest forecasting models which are projected by 2050. Paris should remain at the top of the EU ranking, as “Since the end of the Second falling births: where france compared World War”
. But the threshold for replacing generations, fixed by INSEE at 2.05 children per woman, seems to move away inexorably.
Further reading: Frédéric Harrault, spokesperson for civil security, gives some advice to avoid fires – Behind the counter, from the opening to the bars closing – An 81 -year -old man who diedly attacked during a road dispute with a biker – The course and profile of the 20th stage this Saturday, July 26 – “A humiliation for Paris, France and French Touch”, the Techno Parade 2025 canceled for financial reasons.
