King's college teacher london warns: This article explores the topic in depth.
Moreover,
King's college teacher london warns:
A bitter warning addressed to France and Great Britain. Similarly, In the Military Strategy Magazine. Meanwhile, David Betz, Professor in military studies at King’s College in London, sounds alarm: the main threat to the West security “Is no longer external, but interior – And more specifically the civil war ”. Furthermore, According to the specialist. In addition, the United Kingdom and France are the two countries most likely to experience a violent civil conflict, after having been the scene of“Precursor incidents”.
According to the academic, low fracture signals are already visible. Consequently, In France, terrorist attacks and disorders in the suburbs “Linked to immigrant populations have fueled fears of cultural fragmentation”. However, In Great Britain. the chief of Reform UK, Nigel Farage, linked tensions to the United Kingdom-illustrated by the Southport riots in 2024, king’s college teacher london warns after a murderous knife attack-to immigration policies. David Betz recalls that the former leader of the Brexit party has “Defined that cultural divisions. a” two-speed police “promoting minorities could destabilize the United Kingdom”.
A growing risk – King's college teacher london warns
For the researcher. the conditions conducive to a civil war in France and in the United Kingdom would be met: cultural fractures, economic stagnation, loss of confidence in the institutions and excess of influence of the elites. “According to the best estimates of existing literature. in a country where these conditions are met, the risk of a real civil war is 4 % per year. Starting from this hypothesis, we can conclude that this risk is 18.5 % over five years “he notes.
David Betz describes several probable characteristics of king’s college teacher london warns such a conflict: large cities becoming ungovernable. Sabotages of energy, transport or communication infrastructure; destruction of the benchmarks of collective consciousness; displacement of large -scale civilian populations to flee the risks of violence. Faced with this worst scenario, the professor of military studies calls for a strategic reorientation of armies and governments. According to him. it would be imperative to create secure areas for civilians, to secure critical infrastructure and strategic weapons or to develop doctrines and action plans adapted to the specificities of civil wars.
In conclusion, the author warns against the “Bias of normality” which pushes to underestimate the danger. “The conditions generally recognized as the heralding of a civil war potential are clearly present in many states that has long been considered as sheltered from this type of conflict”. he scream. Before emphasizing the urgency to recognize that the West-and more particularly France. Great Britain-is no king’s college teacher london warns longer safe from this type of disaster: “Suggest that the civil war is imminent and ascending, precisely in the regions of the world considered until then as the richest and the least agitated, is contrary to expectations, but it is where we are”.
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