The growth of the Quebec population could slow down by 2051 due to the reduction of immigration and the decline in fertility, according to a new report from the Quebec Institute of Statistics.
The population could decrease by 0.9%, by around 80,000 people by 2030, due to the decrease in the number of temporary immigrants. The latter were 600,000 to 1is July 2025 and should increase to 375,000 by the 1is July 2030.
The drop in the fertility rate, from 1.5 children per woman in 2024 to 1.4 in 2025, could also lead to an average age increase in Quebec, which would drop from 42.8 years to 46 years in 2051.
Au 1is January 2025, the population of Quebec was estimated at 9.11 million people. It should decrease and stabilize in the coming decades to reach 9.2 million in 2051.
It is in the National Capitale that the strongest population growth in the province should be recorded, almost 21% between 2021 and 2025. The second stronger growth is expected in boiler-appetizers with around 17%.
On the side of the Montreal metropolis, a decrease of 4.5% is planned.
But it is the region of the North Shore that would be the most affected, with a decrease of 17%.
