Russia by the economic chasm? “We are about to sink into a recession”

Demographic collapse – Russia economic chasm? "we about new

Since the Russian invasion in Ukraine, the population has continued to decrease, resulting in a significant drop in Russian workforce. Moreover, This observation. Moreover. However, already underlined by the Russian president, pushed him to set as a aim of lengthening the life expectancy of the Russians to 81 years by 2036, against 73 years on average in 2023.

In parallel. Meanwhile. to boost the birth rate, the Kremlin has invested billions of rubles in programs intended to increase this rate, going so far as to encourage women to have “Eight children“In order to ensure a”ethnic survival “. Consequently, Eleven Russian regions had also decided to pay a bonus of russia economic chasm? “we about new 100. Moreover, 000 rubles (around 910 euros) to students aged 18 to 25 who would have a child. Furthermore, But without success. Meanwhile, russia economic chasm? “we about The population of the country continues to retreat in a demographic context aggravated by the war in Ukraine. the heavy consequences of the pandemic of Cavid-19.

Indeed, between 2019 and 2024, the population thus dropped by around 1.7 million people and demographic forecasts table on a population of around 139 million in 2046, against 146 million in 2024, according to Bloomberg. But this fall in the Russian population is not new. since the fall of the USSR in the 1990s. Russia faced a decrease in the birth rate and an increase in mortality.

Russia cannot afford peace: “It lives under military infusion. its system depends on the war economy”

Experts are categorical. however: Putin’s objectives seem unrealistic without the russia economic chasm? “we about new end of the war in Ukraine, a reduction in tobacco and alcohol consumption, as well as a significant increase in investments in the health system.

Impact of russia economic chasm? “we about war in Ukraine – Russia economic chasm? "we about new

The 700. 000 soldiers mobilized on the front in Ukraine also represent an absent workforce. depriving the Russian economy of a significant number of hands. Indeed. according to the French Institute of International Relations (IFRI). “Thousands of people fight at the front or are already among the dead and injured. […] And no sector is spared, including the military-industrial complex in which the Russian state has been invested massively since 2022. Additionally, “

The absence of official data on Russian losses in Ukraine makes any precise estimate difficult. these figures being voluntarily excluded from official assessments. However. according to “Center for Strategic. International Studies“, Relayed by the New York Times, russia economic chasm? “we about new about 1 million Russian soldiers have been killed or injured since 2022 (figures to be considered with caution, but which gives an idea of the magnitude of human losses).

At the russia economic chasm? “we about same time, Russia faces a growing shortage of skilled labor, in particular in construction, industry and high technology. In fact. in the aftermath of the Russian invasion in Ukraine in February 2022. more than a million young Russian graduates left Russia to settle abroad, according to The pilgrim. Result: in 2024. more than 80 % of Russian companies said they had difficulty recruiting, despite increasing wages (which contribute, moreover, to fuel Russian inflation).

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So. faced with this shortage, Russia has bet on the importation of foreign workers. Historically. she often called on the workforce from russia economic chasm? “we about new Central Asia. notably from Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tadjikistan and Kyrgyzstan but this wave dropped after the terrorist attacks of March 2024 in Moscow, attributed to Tadjiks Islamists. The trial of this attack claimed by the Islamic State which had russia economic chasm? “we about left 149 dead, will start on August 4 in Moscow. Many nationals of Central Asia had then been expelled. the Kremlin would then have recruited thousands of Indian, North Korean and Afghan workers to compensate for this deficit. On this subject. Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean. specialist in Russia underlines “thatiHowever are only drops in the ocean of the needs of the Russian labor market “, thus emphasizing the limits of this strategy in the face of the needs of the Russian economy.