Worn by an anticyclonic dorsal dating back from the southwest of Europe, a mass of hot air could affect a large southern half of the country from Monday, August 6, August 6, with temperatures again superior to normal. A clear signal that summer is far from over, and that heat peaks can still strike in the heart of August Despite the decrease in the duration of the day.
A current weather context little summer in France
July was marked by a striking contrast: after a first scorchive half of the peaks beyond 40 ° C in the south, the second half of the month saw the return of a significantly cooler and disturbed time. Under the influence of an unstable ocean flow, temperatures dropped from 3 to 5 ° C under normal, especially in the north and east, while only the Southeast has retained more summer conditions at the price of the wind.
Towards a configuration change next week
Situation envisaged on August 6: heat will be present in the southwest of France © The weather channel
The period around August 5 will mark the change. From August 5, digital models – both European (ECMWF) and Américans (GFS) – converge on a warmer scenario. An anticyclonic dorsal should be strengthened on Western Europe, promoting the rise in hot air from the Iberian Peninsula. Result: temperatures will go up significantly, especially in the southern half. This warming could begin on Monday in the southwest, before spreading to the center and the Southeast over the days.
What to expect concretely?
Temperatures envisaged on Wednesday August 6 © The weather channel
Temperatures will gain between 5 and 8 ° C on average Compared to the previous week. Of the tips at 36 or 37 ° C are possible in the southwest (Garonne valley, Pyrenean Piedmont), while the threshold of 30 ° C will be generalized south of the Loire. Even in the center and Auvergne, the 32 to 34 ° C could be reached. On the other hand, the northwest and the north-east should remain on the fringes of this hot puff, under more oceanic influence. The feeling will nevertheless be much more summer for a majority of regions. The later trend should remain marked by a fairly durable heat, up to the surroundings of August 15.
This net warming expected from August 5 marks the return of a fully summer time, ideal for the holidays. After a fresh and disappointing end, summer resumes its rights over a large part of the country. Proof that the summer season is far from over, and that other heat episodes are still possible at the heart of August.