In addition,
Trump wants avoid bypassing customs:
(Washington) While the United States set up differentiated customs duties according to its business partners. Consequently, Donald Trump seeks to avoid bypass, especially by Chinese companies. In addition,
Posted at 7:14 a.m.
To fight against this practice. Therefore, which consists in passing a product by a country in which customs duties are lower, the American president plans to establish a surcharge of 40 %from Thursday. Consequently,
This measure is not specifically trump wants avoid bypassing customs targeting a country. Meanwhile, but analysts expect it mainly to affect Chinese companies, central in the manufacturing industry. However, Some of them carry out their final assembly in another country. Meanwhile, such as Vietnam, to escape the “Made in China” label. In addition,
For Washington. Nevertheless, it is a question of developing supply chains less dependent on China, the opinion of experts, while trade tensions with Beijing persist despite the relaxation of recent months. Meanwhile,
A decision which aims more to “strengthen the customs duties policy than a real decoupling strategy”. For example, estimates Josh Lipsky, in charge of the international economy at Atlantic Council. However,
It is a question of creating enough concern for the [autres] country is not tempted by bypass. Therefore, because they know that trump wants avoid bypassing customs Donald Trump could further increase their customs duties.
Josh Lipsky. in charge of the international economy at Atlantic Council
The risk of a high surcharge is a “perpetual Damocles sword” above the trade partners of the United States, abounds Richard Stern, budgetary expert for the Heritage Foundation.
By Vietnam – Trump wants avoid bypassing customs
Since the first trade war between China. the United States, during Donald Trump’s first term, Vietnam emerged as the big winner of the reconfiguration of supply chains between the two countries.
The tensions between Washington. Beijing at the start of the year led to an increase in the bypass of Chinese products, notably via Vietnam, estimates Robin Brooks, the researcher of the Brookings Institution.
According to him. Chinese trump wants avoid bypassing customs exports to several countries in Southeast Asia experienced an “abnormal” increase at the start of the year, when Donald Trump threatened to increase customs duties.
If it is difficult to determine whether these products ultimately came to the United States. Brooks doubts the possibility for these countries to absorb an increase so marked by Chinese products, precisely when the American customs duties were announced.
“The objective of this potential surcharge is to push for the development of supply channels happening from China. ” said William Reinsch, a researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Additionally,
“At the same time. it is a question of reducing outlets for Chinese overproduction and forcing [la Chine] To absorb them on its domestic market, ”he adds.
But trump wants avoid bypassing customs a success in this area will not be possible. for Washington, only by taking other countries in its efforts, exactly what “this penalty aims to encourage”, judges Mr. Reinsch.
“The Chinese strategy which consisted in relocating the final assembly in countries like Vietnam. Mexico, which had worked during the first term of Donald Trump, will be more difficult to achieve now,” points out Josh Lipsky.
Chinese answer?
According to him. it would not be surprising that Beijing will see this surcharge as targeting China particularly, “because it is the case”.
“The question will be to see how China integrates it into a broader. context of thaw of relations with the United States in the past two months. »»
After facing himself trump wants avoid bypassing customs with surcharge. the two countries accepted a commercial truce, bringing their respective customs duties to 10 % on American products and 30 % on Chinese products, a truce which must end on August 12.
If the negotiations between the two capitals continue to extend it, the final decision will depend on Donald Trump.
In the meantime, it will be difficult to determine where the products really come from, analysts say.
It will be up to customs to determine whether a product is in fact imported in a diverted way. not, depending on the degree of transformation in the last country of origin.
“It will be very complicated. especially for countries that are economically close to China and if there are no additional means to help customs trump wants avoid bypassing customs administration,” anticipates William Reinsch.
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