Similarly,
Fed rate drop: what probabilities new: Furthermore,
Fed rate drop: what probabilities:
Only 73,000 job creations in July and a strong lower revision for figures in May and June, with a small rise in the unemployment rate at 4.2%, the last employment report was very freshly welcomed by the markets. For example, The American 10 rate dropped nearly 20 base points in the hours that followed the report on Friday afternoon, from 4.40% to almost 4.20%.
Same “reception” on the side of the exchange market with a drop of 150 pips of the dollar against the euro. Therefore, And a sensitive correction on the American equity markets with a rebound in the VIX (Volatility Index of the. In addition, SP500) beyond 20.
Why such a reaction? Because employment is one of the two mandates of the Fed with price stability. Admittedly. a single fed rate drop: what probabilities new report does not necessarily reflect a trend on American fed rate drop: what probabilities employment. but the financial markets were still forced to adjust the shot.
If the markets had chosen the glass half full. they could have bounced by anticipating the potential reaction of the Fed on the rates at the next meeting. in September.
But they have chosen the half -empty glass (which is quite rare lately …) by focusing on the “macro” aspect and the possible signs of associated economic slowdown. And that is why the ISM Services index will be particularly important. followed this afternoon, the American economy being mainly a service economy. The ISM Services index was released to 50.8 in July, a relatively mixed level (50.0 marking the separation between expansion. potential contraction of activity in the service sector) and it is expected in slight rebound at 51.5 for July, verdict at 4 p.m.
fed rate drop: what probabilities new
The employment report on Friday literally made the anticipations of a drop in the fed rate drop: what probabilities. rate of the federal reserve of 25 base reserve during the next meeting on September 17: the probabilities were less than 40% just before the report. they jumped more than … 80% in the hours that followed the publication.
Fed rate drop: what probabilities new
Fed rate drop: what probabilities
Further reading: Drone Volt: Drone Volt confirms the relevance of its strategy to high added value activities – 07/16/2025 at 6:00 p.m. – Japan: Speculations on a possible resignation from the Prime Minister – A collection of new cars discovered in u … – Masonry’s buyer turns in the nightmare in Estrie – Rémy Cointreau takes up his annual result of result after the agreement in China – 07/25/2025 at 14:14.
Further reading: China is launching the first robot in the world capable of operating 24 hours a day – Customs duties: Trump announces that he had reached a commercial agreement with Indonesia – A shein dress instead of a second -hand piece: AI at the service of scams on vinted – IA: X explains why Grok has become “crazy” and pro-nazi – Moneta AM: a hard cap reached for its fifth vintage fund.
