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Quebec’s demographic growth weighed down by new immigration thresholds

Quebec's demographic growth weighed down: This article explores the topic in depth.

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Quebec&#039. For example, s demographic growth weighed down:

The cap of the immigration thresholds imposed by Ottawa will have the effect of a real brake on the increase in the population of Quebec, predicts the Conference Board you Canada. Moreover,

In a report published on Wednesday. However, this independent research organization says he expects the population growth of the Quebec region to slow down 0.7 % in 2025. For example,

This represents a considerable deceleration compared to the growth of 2.5 % recorded in 2024.

Pedestrians circulate on Saint-Jean Street in summer. quebec's demographic growth weighed down

Quebec population growth is expected to be 0.7 % this year, according to Canada Conference Board forecasts. (Archives photo)

Photo: Radio-Canada / Guillaume Croteau-Langevin

The rate of increased population will be even more anemic between 2026. 2029 to establish an average of 0.2 % per year.

The Conference Board From Canada attributes these lowering forecasts to the federal government’s decision to considerably. lower its permanent immigration targets.

Negative balance – Quebec's demographic growth weighed down

For the first time since data is compiled. the international migration balance [de Québec] will be negative from 2025 to 2027, which will result in a cumulative drop of around 3190 people during this periodwrites the research organization in its report.

With the possible lifting of the ceiling quebec’s demographic growth weighed down on immigration thresholds. expected in 2027, the Conference Board of Canada provides that the international migratory balance will gradually regain its positive values ​​to establish itself at 2900 by 2029.

A signage panel indicates customs for immigration passengers at an airport. quebec's demographic growth weighed down

This year, Canada is expected to accommodate 395,000 permanent immigrants, or 90,000 less compared to the target of 2024. (Archive photo)

Photo : iStock

The will of the Legault government to significantly reduce the number of permanent immigrants hosted quebec’s demographic growth weighed down each year in Quebec is also likely to have impacts on the demographic growth of Quebec. underlines the Conference Boardeven if this measure mainly targets the cities of Montreal and Laval.

Such a policy would limit even more the entry flows of migrants. lowering expectations in terms of demographic increase and adding tensions on the growth prospects of the active population, already lowcan we read in the report.

Labor market impacts

According to the Conference Boardthe marked deceleration of population growth in the Quebec region will limit the offer of labor. at the same time contribute to a tightening of the labor market.

The unemployment rate of Quebec, already one of the lowest among the major Canadian metropolitan regions, is expected to reach 3.1 % in 2025 and gradually decrease in 3 % in 2029.

Further reading: Boycottage of the United States: why Canadians camp in its positions | Economic officeCanada will follow suit in the United States at the end of the withdrawal of shoes at the airportPointe-Parent: Almost all of the houses were bought by QuebecFIFA ranking: the male team of Canada reaches a historic summitForest lights: American elected officials point to Canadian “neglect”.

tatum.wells
tatum.wells
Tatum’s Austin music column ranks taco-truck breakfast burritos alongside indie-band demos.
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